Summer Grilling Star
Beef is the star of the grill, with nearly 75% of consumers indicating burgers are a “must have” food for grilling, and nearly 60% say the same about steak.1 Top planned grilling occasions throughout the summer include Memorial Day, Father’s Day, July 4th, Labor Day, and ordinary weekday or weeknight meals.2 This provides an opportunity for beef to be the center of the plate for both special occasions and everyday enjoyment.
Retail data indicate that year after year, beef outpaces chicken and pork all summer long when it comes to dollar sales and beef is competitive with chicken and far exceeds pork in terms of volume sales.3 Mirroring consumers’ claims of when they plan to grill beef, retail beef sales are highest by dollar sales and volume for the weeks of Memorial Day, July 4th, and Labor Day.
Fresh summer protein dollar sales 2022 – 2024. Three-year trend suggests a higher sales norm for fresh proteins the week leading up to and including July 4th. In 2024, beef sales were up more than 20% versus summer beef sales norms for the week including July 4th.
Analysis: National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, a contractor to the Beef Checkoff.
Beef Cut Preferences
Digging deeper into which beef cuts consumers gravitate toward throughout the summer, they indicate a higher rate of intent to cook steaks for Father’s Day compared to other top summer grilling occasions.4 This is reflected in consumer behavior, as national beef loin sales, (which includes top loin, tenderloin, T-bone, and porterhouse steaks) increased by 28% the week of Father’s Day in 2024.3
However, on a week-to-week basis, ground beef remains the most popular choice for summer grilling. At a national level, ground beef accounts for roughly 40% of sales by dollar sales and 50% by volume. Beef loin and ribeye are a distant second and third place by dollar sales.3
The data also suggests there is a regional component to which beef cuts are preferred at various times throughout the summer grilling season. For example, in the Great Lakes and Plains Regions, ground beef is particularly popular throughout the summer compared to other regions. Meanwhile, California consumers gravitate towards beef sirloin, which includes top sirloin, tri tip, and flap.3
Additionally, different regions shift their consumption of specific beef cuts for key summer grilling holidays. For example, in the week leading up to Memorial Day 2024, California consumers increased their beef ribeye purchases, while the Plains states gravitate towards beef loin. For July 4th, consumers in the Great Lakes and Southeast regions increased their purchases of ground beef and beef loin. To close out the summer, South Central consumers increase their beef ribeye purchases for Labor Day.3 (See Figure 3 for indexed sales data)
Index by beef cut created for each region based on an average of weekly dollar sales. Numbers higher than 100 indicate a week with higher than average sales, while numbers less than 100 indicate lower than average sales. Beef loin includes top loin, tenderloin, T-bone, and porterhouse steaks. Sirloin includes top beef sirloin, tri tip, and flap.
For additional information on beef cuts, visit https://www.beefitswhatsfordinner.com/cuts.
Details on Circana Regions referenced in Figure 3 available upon request.
*Memorial Day and Labor Day fell on Mondays in 2024. Data from the week prior was utilized in this analysis with the assumption that most holiday shopping was conducted during that time frame.
Analysis: National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, a contractor to the Beef Checkoff.
Rising Costs
Like many food categories, summer grilling meals are becoming more expensive. In 2024, the average cost of a 4th of July barbeque was $7.12 per person, up 5% from 2022 and up 30% from 2019.5 Heading into the 2025 summer grilling season, the cost of food is top of mind, with 59% of consumers mentioning “affordability of food/groceries” as a key issue this year.6 As consumers feel the pressure on their budgets, retail data suggest consumers are making smaller, more frequent trips to the grocery store to purchase what they specifically need.6 With this in mind, budget friendly beef cuts and package sizes at retail may become more attractive to shoppers looking to balance budget with the grilling experience they value.
Consumers Continue to Choose Beef
Despite inflationary challenges, there is cause for optimism heading into summer grilling season 2025. On an annual basis, beef demand continues to be resilient year-round despite rises in price per pound. This trend continued through the start of 2025, with total retail beef sales up nearly 8% in volume sales and 16% in dollar sales to date compared to last year.7 Based on this trajectory, there is reason to think strong consumer demand for beef will continue through the summer.
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